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Forex

AUD/USD 1D: Trendline Under Pressure

Lismore Burke
Lismore Burke
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October 1, 2026
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AUDUSD, Time frame: daily AUDUSD, Time frame: daily 

AUD/USD has spent much of 2026 compressing between a descending resistance trendline and rising trend support. Repeated failures near 0.7220–0.7270 have kept the upper side capped, while higher lows have supported the broader consolidation.

The latest decline has now pushed price toward the rising trendline near 0.6930–0.6950, putting that structure under pressure.

200-Day Moving Average

One of the key technical developments is the move below the 200-day moving average near 0.7030. The average had supported price during previous stages of the recovery, but AUD/USD is now trading clearly beneath the indicator around 0.6938.

The 0.7000–0.7030 area therefore becomes an important technical reference on any recovery attempt.

Rising Trendline Faces a Key Test

Price is now testing the rising trendline around 0.6930–0.6950. This trendline has helped define the sequence of higher lows since early 2026, with previous tests attracting buyers.

The current reaction is important because price is testing trend support while simultaneously trading below the 200-day moving average.

RSI Moves into Oversold Territory

The RSI has fallen sharply to around 27, dropping below the traditional 30 oversold threshold and sitting well below its signal line near 39.5.

This confirms strong downside momentum behind the recent selloff. At the same time, the oversold reading shows that momentum has become increasingly stretched as price approaches trendline support.

Long-Term Resistance

The descending trendline around 0.7200–0.7250 remains the major resistance area on the chart. Both the May and September rallies stalled around this trendline, reinforcing the importance of the zone.

Closer to the current price, the 200-day moving average near 0.7030 is the first notable technical hurdle.

Disclaimer: The content published above has been prepared by CFI for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Any view expressed does not constitute a personal recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell. The information provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation, and needs of any specific person who may receive it, and is not held out as independent investment research and may have been acted upon by persons connected with CFI. Market data is derived from independent sources believed to be reliable, however, CFI makes no guarantee of its accuracy or completeness, and accepts no responsibility for any consequence of its use by recipients.

AUD/USD 1D: Trendline Under Pressure