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The Swiss National Bank’s strategy is a hot topic, with a Bloomberg survey of economists conducted November 28-December 4 predicting a 93% chance that the SNB will stick to its policy at its upcoming December meeting. The bank has been consistently communicating that it is dedicated to a monetary policy that ensures price stability, with an inflation target range of 0% to 2%.
The bank's biggest challenge is that the economy just suffered its first quarterly contraction in more than 2 years, which can be attributed to large US tariffs. Given that Switzerland is an export-driven economy, any appreciation in the currency poses a risk to trade and inflation.
Source Trading view USD/CHF 1D USD/CHF currency pair currently finds itself trading in a well-defined range that has been the price action for most of the third and fourth quarters of 2025. This prolonged range indicates the lack of conviction among traders regarding a set direction. As the year ends, a breakout to either side of the range will bring back clear trends for the new year, and much conviction for trend followers.
Resistance Zone: 0.8130-08150 (upper boundary of consolidation range) Support zone: 07850-07900 (lower boundary of consolidation range)
The daily chart shows a prolonged consolidation phase from March highs near 0.8800. After selling pressure around 0.7850 in June. The pair has been range-bound for about six months, trading between clearly defined levels of support and resistance.
Explore USD/CHF Forex trading Now!The technical consolidation suggests market indecision, and traders await a catalyst for momentum to push the price in the next direction. The SNB and Fed decisions can be the catalyst with the potential to break the pair out of the range.
Markets are questioning whether current conditions have moved the SNB interest rate decision close to the point where extraordinary measures might become necessary. Traders are hoping the upcoming rate decision will provide the answer.
Disclaimer: The content published above has been prepared by CFI for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Any view expressed does not constitute a personal recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell. The information provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation, and needs of any specific person who may receive it, and is not held out as independent investment research and may have been acted upon by persons connected with CFI. Market data is derived from independent sources believed to be reliable, however, CFI makes no guarantee of its accuracy or completeness, and accepts no responsibility for any consequence of its use by recipients.
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