AUD/CAD continues to trade within a broad
consolidation phase after repeated rejection from the 0.9900-0.9950 resistance
zone. Price action has failed to break through the upper range on several
attempts, as highlighted by the recent rejection candles near the highs.
Despite this, the broader structure remains supported as the pair continues to
hold above the main macro support area.
Support and the 100-day SMA
The price is currently trading around the
0.9820 area, remaining above the 100-day moving average. This keeps the
medium-term structure constructive, although recent selling pressure shows that
buyers have lost some short-term momentum. As long as AUD/CAD remains above the
0.9750 region, the broader range support remains intact.
Resistance levels
The first key resistance level sits around
0.9850, followed by the stronger supply zone near 0.9900-0.9950. Should AUD/CAD
reclaim 0.9850 and establish sustained acceptance above it, buyers could
attempt another move toward the upper range. A clean breakout above 0.9950
would strengthen the bullish structure and open the door toward the 1.0000
psychological level.
Macro Support Continues to Protect the
Uptrend
On the downside, the 0.9720-0.9755 area
remains the critical support zone for buyers, combining the macro support shelf
with the rising 100-day moving average. This area has repeatedly attracted
demand during previous pullbacks. A sustained break below 0.9720 would weaken
the setup and expose the 0.9650-0.9670 region as the next downside target.
Momentum
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is
currently hovering around 45, showing that bullish momentum remains limited
after the latest rejection from resistance. The RSI remains below the neutral
50 level, indicating buyers have not yet regained stronger control. A move back
above 50-55 would be needed to support a cleaner recovery.
Technical Outlook
The short-term bias remains cautiously
constructive while AUD/CAD trades above macro support. Nevertheless, the 0.9750
region remains the key technical level for buyers, with a sustained break below
this area likely to shift momentum lower, while a reclaim above 0.9850 could
revive upside attempts in the sessions ahead.
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